Forsa poll of 7 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2023 to 6 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Feb 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2023 to 6 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Feb 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher and AfD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 29.1
- AfD -1.9average 14.9
- FDP -1.4average 6.4
- SPD -0.3average 20.3
- Grüne +0.3average 16.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- SPD138
- Grüne118
- AfD90
- FDP35
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.