Forsa poll of 31 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Jan 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 14.6
- Grüne +1.2average 17.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- SPD -0.3average 20.3
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD138
- Grüne132
- AfD90
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.