Forsa poll of 7 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2023 to 6 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Jan 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2023 to 6 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- SPD +0.6average 20.4
- Grüne +0.3average 17.7
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD144
- Grüne123
- AfD89
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.