Forsa poll of 24 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 23 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Jan 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Jan 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.5 points lower and Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.5average 14.5
- Grüne +1.8average 18.2
- SPD -0.9average 19.9
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne138
- SPD132
- AfD83
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.