Forsa poll of 17 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Jan 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.7 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 18.3
- SPD -1.6average 19.6
- AfD -1.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
- FDP -0.2average 7.2
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne138
- SPD125
- AfD90
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.