Forsa poll of 10 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Dec 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Dec 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.8 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 19.8
- Grüne +1.7average 18.3
- AfD -1.1average 14.1
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 28.2
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne137
- SPD123
- AfD89
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.