Single poll

Forsa poll of 29 November 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
22 to 28 Nov 2022
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Nov 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.2average 14.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 27.9
  • Grüne +0.7average 19.3
  • SPD -0.6average 19.6
  • FDP -0.6average 6.6
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsGrüne: 138 seatsSPD: 131 seatsAfD: 83 seatsFDP: 42 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • Grüne138
  • SPD131
  • AfD83
  • FDP42
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.