Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 November 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 21 Nov 2022
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Nov 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Nov 2022, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.3average 14.3
  • Grüne +0.9average 19.1
  • FDP -0.7average 6.7
  • SPD -0.5average 19.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 27.9
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsGrüne: 138 seatsSPD: 131 seatsAfD: 90 seatsFDP: 42 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • Grüne138
  • SPD131
  • AfD90
  • FDP42
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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