Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 December 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
29 Nov 2022 to 5 Dec 2022
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Nov 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 29 Nov 2022 to 5 Dec 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Nov 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.1average 14.1
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 28.0
  • FDP +0.5average 6.5
  • SPD -0.4average 19.4
  • Grüne -0.3average 19.3
  • Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsSPD: 132 seatsGrüne: 131 seatsAfD: 83 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • SPD132
  • Grüne131
  • AfD83
  • FDP48
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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