Forsa poll of 2 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Oct 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- SPD +0.8average 19.2
- AfD -0.8average 14.8
- Grüne +0.5average 19.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- SPD145
- Grüne145
- AfD101
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.