Forsa poll of 8 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Nov 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- AfD -0.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- SPD -0.2average 19.2
- Grüne -0.2average 19.2
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD131
- Grüne131
- AfD97
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.