Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 October 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Oct 2022
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Oct 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 27.0
  • FDP -0.9average 6.9
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • AfD -0.7average 14.7
  • Grüne +0.4average 19.6
  • SPD -0.3average 19.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsGrüne: 145 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 101 seatsFDP: 43 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • Grüne145
  • SPD138
  • AfD101
  • FDP43
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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