Single poll

Forsa poll of 16 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
9 to 15 Aug 2022
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • Grüne25.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Aug 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Aug 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.0average 23.0
  • FDP -1.4average 7.4
  • SPD -1.0average 19.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.9
  • AfD -0.9average 11.9
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 183 seatsSPD: 132 seatsAfD: 81 seatsFDP: 44 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne183
  • SPD132
  • AfD81
  • FDP44
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD396 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP359 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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