Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Aug 2022
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • Grüne25.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Aug 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Aug 2022, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.0average 23.0
  • SPD -1.2average 19.2
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
  • AfD -0.9average 11.9
  • Linke -0.7average 4.7
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsGrüne: 181 seatsSPD: 130 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • Grüne181
  • SPD130
  • AfD80
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD391 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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