Forsa poll of 9 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Aug 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Aug 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 20.0
- Grüne +1.5average 22.5
- AfD -1.1average 11.1
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- FDP -0.5average 7.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- Grüne168
- SPD126
- AfD70
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.