Forsa poll of 2 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Jul 2022 to 1 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Jul 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 26 Jul 2022 to 1 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Jul 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.3 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 20.3
- Grüne +1.7average 22.3
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- FDP -0.6average 7.6
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- Grüne166
- SPD125
- AfD69
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.