Single poll

Forsa poll of 26 July 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Jul 2022
Respondents
2,510
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • Grüne24.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Jul 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,510 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Jul 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.8average 22.2
  • FDP -1.7average 7.7
  • SPD -1.5average 20.5
  • AfD -0.7average 10.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
  • Linke +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 182 seatsGrüne: 168 seatsSPD: 133 seatsAfD: 70 seatsFDP: 42 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU182
  • Grüne168
  • SPD133
  • AfD70
  • FDP42
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP343 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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