Forsa poll of 19 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Jul 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Jul 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.8average 22.2
- FDP -1.7average 7.7
- AfD -1.5average 10.5
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 26.7
- SPD -0.6average 20.6
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- Grüne168
- SPD140
- AfD63
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD371 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.