Forsa poll of 12 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Jul 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Jul 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.0 points higher and SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 22.0
- SPD -1.8average 20.8
- AfD -1.2average 10.2
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- FDP -0.7average 7.7
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- Grüne168
- SPD133
- AfD63
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.