Single poll

Forsa poll of 5 July 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
28 Jun 2022 to 4 Jul 2022
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • Grüne24.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jun 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 28 Jun 2022 to 4 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jun 2022, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points higher and AfD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.2average 21.8
  • AfD -1.6average 10.6
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 27.2
  • SPD -0.9average 20.9
  • Linke -0.5average 4.5
  • FDP +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsGrüne: 174 seatsSPD: 145 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • Grüne174
  • SPD145
  • AfD65
  • FDP58
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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