Single poll

Forsa poll of 7 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
31 May 2022 to 3 Jun 2022
Respondents
2,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
  • Grüne23.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 May 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 31 May 2022 to 3 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 May 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.3 points lower and Grüne 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.3average 21.3
  • Grüne +1.9average 21.1
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
  • AfD +0.3average 9.7
  • Linke -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsGrüne: 167 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 72 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • Grüne167
  • SPD138
  • AfD72
  • FDP58
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD377 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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