Forsa poll of 31 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 May 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 May 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.8 points higher and SPD 3.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.8average 20.2
- SPD -3.7average 22.7
- CDU/CSU +2.0average 27.0
- FDP -1.1average 8.1
- AfD -0.8average 9.8
- Linke -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- Grüne172
- SPD136
- AfD64
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.