Single poll

Forsa poll of 14 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Jun 2022
Respondents
2,511
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jun 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,511 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jun 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.0 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.0average 21.0
  • SPD -1.6average 21.6
  • AfD -1.2average 10.2
  • Linke -0.5average 4.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
  • FDP -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsGrüne: 167 seatsSPD: 145 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • Grüne167
  • SPD145
  • AfD65
  • FDP58
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD377 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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