Single poll

Forsa poll of 15 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
8 to 14 Mar 2022
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+2.0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Mar 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Mar 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.8 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.8average 16.2
  • AfD -1.5average 10.5
  • FDP -0.8average 9.8
  • Linke -0.6average 5.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 25.5
  • SPD +0.2average 24.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsSPD: 171 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsFDP: 62 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • SPD171
  • Grüne123
  • FDP62
  • AfD62
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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