Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Mar 2022
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Mar 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Mar 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.7 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.7average 10.7
  • Grüne +2.0average 16.0
  • SPD +1.4average 24.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 25.5
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 180 seatsCDU/CSU: 173 seatsGrüne: 125 seatsFDP: 62 seatsAfD: 48 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD180
  • CDU/CSU173
  • Grüne125
  • FDP62
  • AfD48
  • Linke42
  • SPD + CDU/CSU353 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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