Single poll

Forsa poll of 1 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
24 to 28 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • SPD25.0%+2.0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%-2.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Feb 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Feb 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 4.0 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -4.0average 11.0
  • Grüne +2.0average 16.0
  • SPD +0.6average 24.4
  • FDP -0.6average 9.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
  • Linke -0.4average 6.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 180 seatsSPD: 173 seatsGrüne: 125 seatsFDP: 62 seatsAfD: 48 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU180
  • SPD173
  • Grüne125
  • FDP62
  • AfD48
  • Linke42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.