Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 21 Feb 2022
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Feb 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Feb 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.3average 11.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 25.2
  • Grüne +1.6average 15.4
  • SPD -1.5average 24.5
  • FDP -0.8average 9.8
  • Linke -0.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 187 seatsSPD: 159 seatsGrüne: 118 seatsFDP: 62 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU187
  • SPD159
  • Grüne118
  • FDP62
  • AfD62
  • Linke42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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