Single poll

Forsa poll of 15 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
8 to 14 Feb 2022
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • SPD23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Feb 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Feb 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.3average 11.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 25.2
  • SPD -1.2average 24.2
  • FDP -1.0average 10.0
  • Grüne +0.4average 15.6
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 189 seatsSPD: 161 seatsGrüne: 112 seatsFDP: 63 seatsAfD: 63 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU189
  • SPD161
  • Grüne112
  • FDP63
  • AfD63
  • Linke42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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