Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Feb 2022
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others10.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Feb 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Feb 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.3average 24.7
  • SPD -2.1average 24.1
  • FDP -1.3average 10.3
  • AfD -1.0average 11.0
  • Grüne -0.1average 16.1
  • Linke ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 189 seatsSPD: 154 seatsGrüne: 112 seatsAfD: 70 seatsFDP: 63 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU189
  • SPD154
  • Grüne112
  • AfD70
  • FDP63
  • Linke42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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