Forsa poll of 1 February 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+3.0
- SPD23.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jan 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.4 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.4average 23.6
- SPD -2.1average 25.1
- FDP -1.7average 10.7
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- Linke +0.2average 5.8
- Grüne -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD159
- Grüne111
- AfD69
- FDP62
- Linke42
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.