Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Jan 2022
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 26.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 22.9
  • AfD -1.1average 11.1
  • FDP -0.9average 10.9
  • Linke +0.6average 5.4
  • Grüne +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 173 seatsCDU/CSU: 166 seatsGrüne: 111 seatsFDP: 69 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD173
  • CDU/CSU166
  • Grüne111
  • FDP69
  • AfD69
  • Linke42
  • SPD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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