Single poll

Forsa poll of 18 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 Jan 2022
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jan 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jan 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.2average 22.8
  • SPD -1.4average 26.4
  • FDP -1.2average 11.2
  • AfD -0.9average 10.9
  • Linke -0.4average 5.4
  • Grüne +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 173 seatsSPD: 173 seatsGrüne: 111 seatsFDP: 69 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU173
  • SPD173
  • Grüne111
  • FDP69
  • AfD69
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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