Forsa poll of 11 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 10 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 3,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Dec 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 3,003 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Dec 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.3average 22.7
- SPD -2.1average 27.1
- AfD -1.8average 10.8
- FDP -1.5average 11.5
- Grüne +1.4average 15.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU173
- SPD173
- Grüne118
- FDP69
- AfD62
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.