Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 21 Mar 2022
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • SPD23.0%-2.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Mar 2022.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Mar 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.9 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.9average 24.9
  • Grüne +1.5average 16.5
  • AfD -1.5average 10.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 25.7
  • Linke -0.5average 5.5
  • FDP +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 158 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsFDP: 68 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD158
  • Grüne123
  • FDP68
  • AfD62
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.