Forsa poll of 16 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 2,510
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD24.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Nov 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,510 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Nov 2021, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.9 points lower and FDP 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.9average 26.9
- FDP -1.6average 13.6
- Grüne +1.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 20.9
- AfD -0.4average 10.4
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD168
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne119
- FDP84
- AfD70
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.