Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Nov 2021
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others10.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Nov 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Nov 2021, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.5average 26.5
  • FDP -1.4average 13.4
  • Grüne +1.3average 15.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 21.4
  • AfD -0.5average 10.5
  • Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 168 seatsCDU/CSU: 154 seatsGrüne: 119 seatsFDP: 84 seatsAfD: 70 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD168
  • CDU/CSU154
  • Grüne119
  • FDP84
  • AfD70
  • Linke35
  • SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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