Single poll

Forsa poll of 9 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Nov 2021
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP14.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Nov 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.7average 26.7
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 21.0
  • Grüne +0.3average 15.7
  • FDP +0.3average 13.7
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 173 seatsCDU/CSU: 152 seatsGrüne: 111 seatsFDP: 97 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD173
  • CDU/CSU152
  • Grüne111
  • FDP97
  • AfD62
  • Linke35
  • SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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