Forsa poll of 2 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Oct 2021 to 1 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP15.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Oct 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 26 Oct 2021 to 1 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 2.1 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.1average 12.9
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- SPD -1.2average 26.2
- Linke -0.7average 5.7
- Grüne +0.6average 15.4
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 21.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD173
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne111
- FDP104
- AfD62
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.