Forsa poll of 26 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 2,510
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- FDP16.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Oct 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,510 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Oct 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 3.4 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +3.4average 12.6
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- Grüne +1.6average 15.4
- SPD -1.2average 26.2
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 21.2
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD171
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne116
- FDP110
- AfD62
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne424 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP418 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP397 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD343 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.