Forsa poll of 19 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP15.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Oct 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Oct 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 2.5 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.5average 12.5
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 21.3
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- SPD -0.2average 26.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD180
- CDU/CSU138
- Grüne111
- FDP104
- AfD62
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP395 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.