Forsa poll of 12 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP14.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Oct 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Oct 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower and FDP 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 10.8
- FDP +1.7average 12.3
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 21.5
- Linke -0.9average 5.9
- SPD -0.5average 26.5
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD182
- CDU/CSU140
- Grüne112
- FDP98
- AfD63
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP392 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.