Forsa poll of 5 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Sep 2021 to 4 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 3,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP14.0%+2.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%+5.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 3,004 people were surveyed from 27 Sep 2021 to 4 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 2.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.2average 11.8
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 22.0
- AfD -1.7average 10.7
- Linke -1.1average 6.1
- Grüne +0.6average 15.4
- SPD ±0average 26.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD182
- CDU/CSU140
- Grüne112
- FDP98
- AfD63
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP392 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.