Single poll

Forsa poll of 24 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
20 to 23 Sep 2021
Respondents
2,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Sep 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Sep 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.5average 15.5
  • AfD -0.9average 10.9
  • SPD -0.5average 25.5
  • FDP +0.5average 11.5
  • Linke -0.5average 6.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 22.3
  • Freie Wähler +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 171 seatsCDU/CSU: 151 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsFDP: 82 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD171
  • CDU/CSU151
  • Grüne116
  • FDP82
  • AfD69
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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