Single poll

Forsa poll of 21 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
14 to 20 Sep 2021
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Sep 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.1average 15.9
  • SPD -0.9average 25.9
  • Linke -0.5average 6.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 21.8
  • FDP -0.2average 11.2
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 171 seatsCDU/CSU: 151 seatsGrüne: 117 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD171
  • CDU/CSU151
  • Grüne117
  • FDP75
  • AfD75
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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