Single poll

Forsa poll of 14 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Sep 2021
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%+2.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%-2.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others6.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Sep 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.0average 16.0
  • SPD -0.7average 25.7
  • FDP -0.6average 11.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 21.4
  • AfD -0.4average 11.4
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 173 seatsCDU/CSU: 145 seatsGrüne: 118 seatsFDP: 76 seatsAfD: 76 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD173
  • CDU/CSU145
  • Grüne118
  • FDP76
  • AfD76
  • Linke42
  • SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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