Single poll

Forsa poll of 7 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2021 to 6 Sep 2021
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU19.0%-2.0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • FDP13.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Aug 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2021 to 6 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.7average 21.7
  • FDP +1.1average 11.9
  • Linke -0.6average 6.6
  • SPD +0.2average 24.8
  • Grüne +0.1average 16.9
  • AfD -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 173 seatsCDU/CSU: 131 seatsGrüne: 118 seatsFDP: 90 seatsAfD: 76 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD173
  • CDU/CSU131
  • Grüne118
  • FDP90
  • AfD76
  • Linke42
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne422 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP394 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP381 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke346 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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