Forsa poll of 31 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,508
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD23.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Aug 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,508 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 23.1
- Linke -0.9average 6.9
- SPD +0.8average 22.2
- Grüne +0.4average 17.6
- FDP +0.1average 11.9
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD159
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne125
- FDP83
- AfD76
- Linke42
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne429 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP387 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.