Forsa poll of 24 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 23 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD23.0%+2.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Aug 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 3.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.6average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -3.3average 25.3
- Linke -1.2average 7.2
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- Grüne -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD159
- CDU/CSU152
- Grüne125
- FDP83
- AfD69
- Linke42
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne436 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP394 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.