Forsa poll of 18 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- SPD21.0%+2.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Aug 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.1 points lower and SPD 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.1average 26.1
- SPD +2.9average 18.1
- Linke -1.0average 7.0
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- Grüne +0.2average 18.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU159
- SPD145
- Grüne132
- FDP83
- AfD69
- Linke42
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne436 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.