Forsa poll of 11 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,509
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU23.0%-3.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+3.0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Aug 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,509 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.9 points lower and SPD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.9average 26.9
- SPD +2.1average 16.9
- Grüne +0.8average 19.2
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- FDP +0.4average 11.6
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne139
- SPD132
- FDP83
- AfD69
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD430 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.